Poll: Most likely Best Supporting Actress nominees

Kristen Stewart já ganhou…Minha Diva Talentosa, Maravilhosa só me orgulha <3

My predictions:

Patricia Arquette – Boyhood (she could go as lead)
Naomi Watts – Birdman (the academy will prefer Naomi instead of Emma, considering her strong reputation)
Emily Blunt – Into The Woods (they might go with Anna instead, but Emily’s part is stronger)
Felicity Jones – Theory of Everything (she could go lead)
Kristen Stewart – The Clouds of Sils Maria (It will not be a easy battle, considering IFC doesn’t campaign properly, the rave reviews and her big-ish name will have to be enough, luckily she has 3 other juicy movies coming that can increase her oscar buzz)
Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game (She’s having a strong year with also Begin Again and Laggies)

Maps is rotten, in this case Mia and Julianne are probably out, at least for this movie. Jessica has a lot of oscar potential performances this year, so they will probably focus in one that she is the lead. Meryl is probably going as lead. They’ll probably focus in the other Reese’s performance (Wild) which she is lead.

In “Into the Woods” which I saw originally on Bway, then in the revival in the Park, the witch is the leading role. And she transforms from ugly to beautiful, which always counts. Co-lead is the Baker’s Wife, which is the role with heart. Amy Adams fighting one of the most ridiculous wigs in theater history came out well in the Park. And Donna Murphy was the witch. Nobody in the Park revival got nominated for ANYthing, if memory serves. But the Original did on Bway.

The critics (not me) blasted the hell out of ITW in the Park revival, but loved the Bway original. Sondheim wrote this in the middle of the worst of the AIDS crisis when people were dying every other minute. The giantess wrath, which kills half the cast at the intermission, was the metaphor. So it may have seemed more timely in the first place, than it did in the second place.

But the Witch is really the lead. I.e. Meryl AGAIN! And she has many songs. And you know, Meryl is a very nice singer, too. On top of everything else. We could see her nominated AGAIN for this. In lead. Which the Witch is.

But yes, Joanna Gleeson won the Tony over Bernadette, who were the Baker’s wife and the witch, respectively Glesson winning was a bit of a surprise, if I remember correctly. But there will be other actresses coming along. This may be Amy Adams’ year to win. Finally. For “Big Eyes” plus she got Harvey behind her this time.

I also thought Miranda Richardson gave a memorable bitchy performance in “Belle”.

No, I haven’t yet. I was just wishing not to take her seriously without seeing the film,but I am willing to. SURPRISE ME!

Boyhood will sure be the oscar king of this year, so Patricia is the strongest contender. I am sure Julianne is amazing in Maps, she got amazing reviews, the problem is that Maps got weak reviews (it’s not even fresh on rotten), especially from americans, a movie in that case hardly ever is able to get a nom, even if the performances (mia and juliannes) are terrific. I heard about Still Alice which is going to premiere at TIFF and it sounds to have some serious Oscar potential, but we have to wait for the first reviews to be able to measure its chances. Oscar could easily embrace Kristen, considering she is a big movie star (you might deslike her, but she leaded a pretty successfull franchise and Snow White and before that she had a strong reputation as an indie actress) and is receiving rave reviews for her performance in Sils Maria, it all depends how they are going to manage the movie in America, and we are still in the middle of the year, from now on there will be a lot of competition, she still has a lot of chances though

Kristen had a trully acclaimed performance in Clouds of Sils Maria, acclaimed enough to support the Oscar nom, the critics even elected her the best supporting performance from Cannes, in front of strong Oscar contenders such as Mark Rufallo and J.K Simmons, and the critics from the guardian elected her among the 3 best female performances from Cannes, the movie itself got strong reviews as well (89% on rottentomatoes so far), the biggest problem is IFC which is pretty weak at campaigning, if it wasn’t for that, she would easily get a nom. She could still score from Still Alice (especially Julianne), so.. we’ll have to wait and see.

Predicted 5
Patricia Arquette
Julianne Moore
Jessica Chastain
Kristin Scott Thomas
Insert Into the Woods nominee

Predicting supporting is usually harder than lead, but this is definitely a category bound for surprises.

Every time I see anything for Get On Up, all I can think of is Oscar for Viola Davis. I don’t want to jinx it, though!

Oh, you’re right. I’m mistaken! Sorry!

you know, I’m really looking forward to Ullman in this part. Ullman, I think is really underutilized as an actress. Maybe she likes light schedule since she probably has enough cash to retire. Either way. I think when people see it, they will be pleasantly reminded of what we’ve been missing. Plus she gets, arguable the most clever lyric in a show filled with brilliant lyrics.

There’s no time to sit and dither.
While her withers wither with her.

It’s about Jacks cow before he takes him to market.

I personally would support Naomi Watts as she looks great and have outstanding roles/performances in both movies “St. Vincent” & “Birdman”. I truly believe that it can be a true vehicle for her to finally get Oscar statue. Naomi has overdue factor, she is well-respected in Holywood, both commercial and indie markets, worked with so many great directors, and have that leftover from “The Impossible” as well as a couple of snubs.

unless Meryl Streep has an awards worthy role in another film she will be listed as lead. At the Tonys both Gleason and Peters had lead nominations if I recall. But there was no real competition here, everyone knew it would be one or the other. The lead from Phantom didn’t have a chance since she was only a voice, unable to act her way out of a paper bag. A double nomination for Blunt and Kendrick is quite possible if the film is extremely strong. Both roles are good. (As for those that say Crosby didn’t net a nomination for Cinderella at the Tonys, I can’t say why that didn’t happen, but there Cinderella has two great songs in the show, one of which is at the end of the show, and she has two scenes while brief are enormously touching, so I think Kendrick has a real shot.

Viola Davis
Patricia Arquette (lead or supporting?)
Jessica Chastain (lead or supporting?)
Reese Witherspoon
Imelda Staunton
Alt. is Lesley Manville

Joanna Gleason won the Tony Award for ‘Into the Woods’ in the Leading Actress category.

Can I vote for Shohreh Aghdashloo five times plz?

Also add Naomi Watts for Birdman so I can vote for her in Birdman and St. Vincent and Tank Girl TYVM.

I’m hopeful that Julianne Moore will also be noticed as Best Actress material for Still Alice that’s premiering at TIFF and that Kristen Stewart could possibly get a Best Supporting nod for that performance, as well. Kristen has gotten rave reviews for Sils Maria, too, and the overall film is getting mixed to positive reviews. I hope the idiot prejudice that exists against her will not hinder the possibility.

Octavia Spencer _Get On Up

Brie Larson!!!! The Gambler

I see people keep misunderestimating UNDER THE WOODS.

Kirsten Stewart is not happening.

Actually, I like the idea of Moore being campaigned in ‘Supporting’ for MAPS. Role is apparently not a clear cut lead and very meaty since it won her Best Actress at Cannes. Increases her chances of being recognized twice, but most importantly, saves her from competing against herself. I’m assuming of course I will like that other movie that so many assume she’s a Best Actress shoe-in for. Right now even the title of that movie escapes me so I might not care for it in the end. I’m just such a big fan of hers who has been robbed a few times. And I am a Cronenberg shill so any chance for MAPS to somehow get in there, I’ll take it.

I didn’t know Oprah was in SELMA.

Every time I am reminded Jena Malone is in INHERENT VICE I smile at the possibilities.

*sliming*

Add?
Mia Wasikowska in Only Lovers Left Alive
Viola Davis in Eleanor Rigby

Missing from this list is the great Dame Maggie Smith, so is playing what is ostensibly a leading role AND the title character in “My Old Lady” which I’ve already seen. But I hear that they are going to put her in Supporting, which if they do, she’ll win.