Top Story

2026 Oscar Predictions: The Final Lap in Most Predictable Oscar Race in History

The Oscars aren't a game. Or at least they didn't used to be, until 1999, when an unmarried single mother with a one-year-old baby living in a guest house in Van Nuys decided to make them into one. It would be called OscarWatch because "I thought it would be fun to run a newspaper." Back then, there were predicting sites like Gold Derby with "experts" that ranked the contenders. There were Oscar predictions in magazines like Premiere, Entertainment Weekly, and the LA Times. Siskel and Ebert would get into the game. The Oscars were mostly covered by the trades, Variety and Hollywood Reporter, who would get the...

Read moreDetails

News

Costume Design Guild Winners

Here are the winners for the Costume Design Guild, though no real surprises except that Wicked: For Good was mysteriously shut out of the Oscar race entirely, even for costumes, which remains one of the biggest (and only) surprises of the season. Excellence in Contemporary Film One Battle After Another, Colleen Atwood Excellence in Contemporary Television The Studio, “CinemaCon,” Kameron Lennox Excellence in Variety, Reality-Competition, Live Television Saturday Night Live 50th Anniversary Special, Tom Broecker, Cristina Natividad, & Ashley Dudek Excellence in Costume Illustration Sinners, Felipe Sanchez, illustrator Excellence in Sci-Fi/Fantasy Film Wicked: For Good, Paul Tazewell Excellence in Sci-Fi/Fantasy Television Andor, “Harvest,” Michael Wilkinson Excellence in Period Film Frankenstein, Kate Hawley Excellence in...

Read moreDetails

Steven Spielberg Donates $25K to the GoFundMe for James Van Der Beek

Actor James Van Der Beek's untimely death from cancer has brought out the angels. Among them was Steven Spielberg, who kicked in $25K. The family's finances were decimated after the medical bills mounted to fight the cancer that would ultimately take his life. Spielberg is what one might call a mensch. The GoFundMe has reached almost 2 million. This comment, on the Go Fund Me, is so deeply moving. If you'd like to donate, you can do so by clicking the link...

Read moreDetails

Oscar Podcast: Have Film Critics Ruined Everything?

We've been pondering the question of the hive mind that is film criticism now. Are their tastes too homogenized? Do they think too much alike? Or does Rotten Tomatoes make it seem that way? How has that impacted films, the box office, and the Oscars? We get into it. We also talk frontrunners and the scant few challengers. And we use the second half to talk about the most promising releases of 2026. Have a listen.

Read moreDetails

Let’s Talk Cinema: Reaching Back into the Past to Find the Best of the 90s

  Welcome to the last stop of the 90s! I have gone through 30 years of cinema, and it seems we have hardly even scratched the surface of all the films out there. The more we do this, the more I realize how little I know and just how expansive and beautiful the art of cinema truly is. So far, this experiment has helped me discover films I have never seen or even heard of before, and I am so grateful for...

Read moreDetails

Contest Winners: The DGA!

Unfortunately, the DGA produced multiple winners. I need to have more tie-breakers for the future. That meant the winners all got exactly the same score and there was no one winner. That means I have to divide the prize up. If your name is on this list as one of the winners, you can email me to claim your prize. And if you notice a problem, let me know as well.

Read moreDetails

Oscar Luncheon Today – Watch the Red Carpet

Today is the day the nominees gather with the Academy for a luncheon. Here is a video of the red carpet and once the photos appear on the Oscars site, including the class photo, I'll post them here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=97-OVBNk_d0 Photos below: Here is the great Dave Karger, The Oscar King: TCM Host @davekarger shares what makes the annual @TheAcademy Luncheon so special as he gets ready to interview this year’s Oscar nominees! Follow along for live updates and behind-the-scenes on TCM’s Instagram...

Read moreDetails

Sorry Netflix, “The Actor Awards” Still Sucks

Netflix has so much power there isn't much the consumer can do to force them to make changes. They know it, too. It's hopeless to even try. But they must be getting some complaints from the new change of the SAG Awards to the Actor Awards such that they put out this trailer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8s4SNY3e6nQ Yeah, there's just no way around this one. The Actor Awards obliterates AFTRA, for starters, and that's what, 100K members? Maybe they don't like the word "SAG" -...

Read moreDetails

Nextgen OscarWatcher: Parsing the DGA and the Remaining 15 Categories

Despite a night full of upsets—including Charlie Polinger taking home First-Time Theatrical Feature for The Plague and Mstyslav Chernov winning Documentary Feature for 2000 Meters to Andriivka—the outcome many expected ultimately prevailed: Paul Thomas Anderson claimed the Directors Guild prize for feature film with One Battle After Another. One could call it predictable, arguing that—regardless of the Best Picture race—this win merely solidifies the directing category, where the beloved PTA is poised to finally claim his overdue Oscar. But the significance runs...

Read moreDetails

David Fincher’s Funkadelic Teaser for The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Muscle cars, old movie theaters and Oscars. Grunge is back, baby, and who better to bring it back than the great David Fincher and Brad Pitt whose Fight Club and Se7en put the RRRR in grunge. A Fincher joint, with cinematography by Erik Messerschmidt, music by Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross. Also starring Carla Gugino, Elizabeth Debicki, Peter Weller, Holt McCallany. So yeah, this just happened: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9XmhgGvZn90   Looks like he's having some fun with form, freestyling it. Can't wait. This copy...

Read moreDetails

Oscar Nomination Predictions

Best Picture
  • 1.
    One Battle after Another (Warner Bros.)
    100%
  • 2.
    Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    90%
  • 3.
    Hamnet (Focus Features)
    80%
  • 4.
    Marty Supreme (A24)
    80%
  • 5.
    Sentimental Value (Neon)
    80%
  • 6.
    Frankenstein (Netflix)
    80%
  • 7.
    Bugonia (Focus Features)
    80%
  • 8.
    The Secret Agent (Neon)
    80%
  • 9.
    Train Dreams (Netflix)
    80%
  • 10.
    F1 (Apple)
    80%
Best Director
  • 1.
    One Battle after Another, Paul Thomas Anderson
    100%
  • 2.
    Sinners, Ryan Coogler
    90%
  • 3.
    Hamnet, Chloé Zhao
    80%
  • 4.
    Marty Supreme, Josh Safdie
    80%
  • 5.
    Sentimental Value, Joachim Trier
    80%
Best Actor
  • 1.
    Timothée Chalamet in Marty Supreme
    100%
  • 2.
    Leonardo DiCaprio in One Battle after Another
    80%
  • 3.
    Ethan Hawke in Blue Moon
    80%
  • 4.
    Michael B. Jordan in Sinners
    80%
  • 5.
    Wagner Moura in The Secret Agent
    80%
Best Actress
  • 1.
    Jessie Buckley in Hamnet
    100%
  • 2.
    Rose Byrne in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
    80%
  • 3.
    Renate Reinsve in Sentimental Value
    80%
  • 4.
    Kate Hudson in Song Sung Blue
    80%
  • 5.
    Emma Stone in Bugonia
    80%
Best Supporting Actor
  • 1.
    Stellan Skarsgård in Sentimental Value
    100%
  • 2.
    Jacob Elordi in Frankenstein
    90%
  • 3.
    Benicio Del Toro in One Battle after Another
    90%
  • 4.
    Delroy Lindo in Sinners
    90%
  • 5.
    Sean Penn in One Battle after Another
    80%
Best Supporting Actress
  • 1.
    Teyana Taylor in One Battle after Another
    100%
  • 2.
    Amy Madigan in Weapons
    90%
  • 3.
    Wunmi Mosaku in Sinners
    80%
  • 4.
    Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas in Sentimental Value
    90%
  • 5.
    Elle Fanning in Sentimental Value
    80%

More Stories


Writers Guild*
Editors Guild*
Cinema Audio Society*
Producers Guild nominations*
BAFTA noms*
Cinematographers Society Awards*
Directors Guild Awards+/*

Screen Actors Guild Awards*
Golden Globes Win+/Nom*
Critics Choice win+/nom*

Best PictureOne Battle After Another++*+******
Sinners**********
Hamnet *+******
Marty Supreme*********
Sentimental Value****
Frankenstein*******
Bugonia****
Train Dreams***
F1**
The Secret Agent*

Best Actor Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme++**
Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another****
Michael B. Jordan, Sinners****
Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon****
Wagner Maura, The Secret Agent*+

Best Actress
Jessie Buckley, Hamnet++**
Emma Stone, Bugonia****
Rose Byrne, If I had Legs I'd Kick You****
Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value***
Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue***

Best Supporting Actor
Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value*+*
Jacob Elordi Frankenstein+***
Benicio Del Toro, One Battle After Another****
Sean Penn, One Battle After Another****
Delroy Lindo, Sinners

Best Supporting Actress
Teyana Taylor, One Battle*+**
Amy Madigan, Weapons+**
Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners***
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value***
Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value**

Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another+++*
Ryan Coogler, Sinners****
Chloé Zhao, Hamnet****
Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme***
Joaquim Trier, Sentimental Value***

Adapted Screenplay
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another++**
Chloé Zhao, Maggie O'Farrell, Hamnet****
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Train Dreams*
Guillermo Del Toro, Frankenstein**
Will Tracy, Bugonia***


Original Screenplay
Ryan Coogler, Sinners+***
Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein, Marty Supreme***
Joaquim Trier, Eskil Vogt, Sentimental Value***
Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident*
Blue Moon

Cinematography
Sinners***
One Battle After Another***
Frankenstein***
Train Dreams+**
Marty Supreme**

Best Editing
One Battle After Another***
Marty Supreme***
F1: The Movie+**
Sinners***
Sentimental Value*

Production Design
Frankenstein+*
Sinners**
Hamnet**
Marty Supreme**
One Battle After Another*

Sound Mixing + Editing
F1: The Movie+*
Sinners**
One Battle After Another**
Frankenstein**
Sirât*

Costumes Frankenstein+*
Hamnet**
Marty Supreme*
Sinners**
Avatar: Fire and Ash

Visual Effects
Avatar: Fire and Ash+*
Sinners*
F1 **
Jurassic World Rebirth
The Lost Bus
*
Original ScoreSinners++*
Hamnet***
Frankenstein***
One Battle After Another***
Bugonia*

Original Song Golden, KPop Demon Hunters++
I Lied to You, Sinners**
Train Dreams, Train Dreams**
Dear Me from Diane Warren: Relentless
Sweet Dreams Of Joy from Viva Verdi!

Makeup and HairFrankenstein+*
Sinners* *
The Smashing Machine*
Kokuho
The Ugly Stepsister

Casting Sinners+ *
One Battle After Another**
Hamnet*
Marty Supreme**
The Secret Agent

Animated FeatureKpop Demon Hunters++
Zootopia 2***
Arco***
Little Amelie or the Character of Rain***
Elio***

Documentary Feature
The Perfect Neighbor*
The Alabama Solution
Come See Me in the Good Light
Cutting through Rocks
Mr. Nobody against Putin*

International Feature
Sentimental Value (Norway)**
The Secret Agent (Brazil)++
It Was Just An Accident (France)***
Sirât (Spain)***
The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia)**

Live Action ShortButcher’s Stain
A Friend of Dorothy
Jane Austen’s Period Drama
The Singers
Two People Exchanging Saliva

Documentary ShortAll the Empty Rooms
Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud
Children No More: Were and Are Gone
The Devil Is Busy
Perfectly a Strangeness

Animated Short Butterfly
Forevergreen
The Girl Who Cried Pearls
Retirement Plan
The Three Sisters

NextGen Oscarwatcher

Let's Talk Cinema with Jeremy Jentzen

Podcasts

2026 Oscar Predictions

Trailers