Check out the Gurus of Gold on Movie City News with current predictions of the top two in every category. A general consensus has emerged with a few disagreements as to who might take the second slot in each category. Mickey Rourke vs. Sean Penn is not really an argument but a few of us are still predicting Rourke to take it, though it feels like Sean Penn will probably win. This, for a variety of reasons, but the first is that “they” will want to give a prize to Milk and that might be the big one. The Milk screenplay is also a possibility, though most of the gurus are predicting Wall-E’s Andrew Stanton to win that one. There is also the dark horse possibility of Courtney Hunt taking it as well; Frozen River has gotten a lot of post-nomination buzz and heat. She is a woman, which would help to (slightly) even the score in this category. How many women have won in Screenplay? You can count them on one hand (I think). No one should vote for her because she’s a woman, I’m just saying, they might think of that while voting. I’d say it’s a toss up between those three. Cut to: “And the Oscar goes to Martin McDonagh for In Bruges.”