Lots of surprises — on the surface. But when you take time to delve deeper into all the internal numbers, especially when considering the demographic breakdown, you’ll discover all kinds of reasons why the results played out among AD voters exactly as they did.
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Let’s all keep in mind the most valuable purpose served by Rob’s incredibly detailed efforts each year is to open a window into the inner machinery of the ballot process itself, so that we can see precisely how the preferential system operates with concrete examples. AD reader taste bears scant relation to Academy taste and we know all the reasons for that. (For example, unlike some Academy members, I doubt if we could find any AD voter who refuses to respect Quvenzhane Wallis just because her name is tricky to pronounce). The most interesting thing to me about these simulated Academy Awards is to see what goes on below the simple list of who won what. I like to look at who almost won, and I like to keep in that in mind to help remind myself that we shouldn’t blame the entire Academy for some of the rotten decisions a minority of members make. (Because make no mistake, thousands of Academy members are as embarrassed by Crash and The Blind Side as all of them should be).