BEST FILM
- BOYHOOD Richard Linklater, Cathleen Sutherland
DIRECTOR
- BOYHOOD Richard Linklater
LEADING ACTRESS
- JULIANNE MOORE Still Alice
LEADING ACTOR
- EDDIE REDMAYNE The Theory of Everything
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- PATRICIA ARQUETTE Boyhood
SUPPORTING ACTOR
- J.K. SIMMONS Whiplash
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
- THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING Anthony McCarten
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
- THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Wes Anderson
EDITING
- WHIPLASH Tom Cross
OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
- THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING James Marsh, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Lisa Bruce, Anthony McCarten
OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
- STEPHEN BERESFORD (Writer), DAVID LIVINGSTONE (Producer) Pride
CINEMATOGRAPHY
- BIRDMAN Emmanuel Lubezki
PRODUCTION DESIGN
- THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Adam Stockhausen, Anna Pinnock
COSTUME DESIGN
- THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Milena Canonero
ORIGINAL MUSIC
- THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Alexandre Desplat
SOUND
- WHIPLASH Thomas Curley, Ben Wilkins, Craig Mann
MAKE UP & HAIR
- THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Frances Hannon
SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
- INTERSTELLAR Paul Franklin, Scott Fisher, Andrew Lockley
ANIMATED FILM
- THE LEGO MOVIE Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
DOCUMENTARY
- CITIZENFOUR Laura Poitras
FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
- IDA Pawel Pawlikowski, Eric Abraham, Piotr Dzieciol, Ewa Puszczynska
BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION
- THE BIGGER PICTURE Chris Hees, Daisy Jacobs, Jennifer Majka
BRITISH SHORT FILM
- BOOGALOO AND GRAHAM Brian J. Falconer, Michael Lennox, Ronan Blaney
THE EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)
- JACK O’CONNELL
===
As far as the nuances of a performance go…….Turing was more nuanced than Hawking………it was just not physical.
Hi ‘WW’………I agree, ‘The Imitation Game’ has been shut out by other award shows. I also get why people like Eddie’s performance more………it is great in a very obvious way. But comparing the amount of resources Eddie had the amount that Benedict had, I would say Benedict’s performance is far superior because Stephen Hawking is well written about, there were visual aids for Eddie to watch and more and not even a tenth of that for Turing. At the other end of the spectrum, people playing fictional characters like Keaton had the freedom to forge the character to their liking. Benedict neither had the resources nor the freedom. Also……..physical transformations………’Paa’ and ‘Margarita, with a straw’. If physical transformations are great, why did these films not even get nominated for any award? Let alone win. I mean…..Amitabh Bachchan is obviously great, and Margarita was well acclaimed and both more nuanced performance than Eddie’s in ‘Theory’. Why this hypocrisy?
‘FYC screening news says The Imitation Game is the only film to have brought AMPAS members to tears.”
Icharp, can you provide a link to that story? That statement sounds so hyperbolic. Earlier this season, a couple of pundits said ”Imitation Game” would go all the way and swore that Academy voters loved it, so we’ll see how true that is on Feb. 22. … But otherwise, ”Imitation Game” has been shut out at the Golden Globes, SAGs, the Broadcast Film Critics and now the BAFTAs.
Thanks, Majora, for that Ebert link.
It’s a refreshing read for his rationale for his predictions. He never even once mentioned about the stats, but mostly from analyzing the contents of each contender.
I am really praying for a surprise here. It has happened before. FYC screening news says The Imitation Game is the only film to have brought AMPAS members to tears. Praying for a Keaton or Cumberbatch win.
I am really surprised Eddie Redmayne is winning everything. Yes, it is a good performance……just not an outstanding. I wold pick Keaton or Cumberbatch any day. Yes, the performance has a physical transformation….but if the physicality of a performance is so important then the Bollywood film ‘Paa’ should have swept any acting award there ever existed. Amitabh Bachchan’s performance there was far superior to Redmayne’s in ‘Theory’. Also this year, Kalki Koechlin played a girl afflicted with cerebral palsy in ‘Margarita, With a Straw’. Her performance was as physically transformative and more nuanced than Redmayne’s, and yet, she did not even receive a Best Actress nomination. This happens despite the fact that critics across the globe are calling her performance, “The most honest depiction of a disability in any film this year.” These award juries more inconsistent than political parties across the globe put together.
@CLAUDIU DOBRE
No your right, Ebert did somehow predict (and preferred) Crash for the win.
http://www.rogerebert.com/festivals-and-awards/eberts-oscar-predictions-2006
The last time in a BP/BD split year the Best Director Award went to a movie without an Editing nomination was 2005 when Ang Lee won. The one before that happened in 1967 when the late Mike Nichols won for The Graduate. Both men won DGA. So what I’m saying is that a split where Boyhood wins Picture and Inarritu wins Director is very unlikely, because of the Editing nod Birdman lacks. So in the event of a split year, the Directing Oscar is more likely to go to a movie with an editing nod, but preferably a win. The DGA win helps of course 🙂 , but is not crutial. Soderbergh, Fosse and Polański didn’t win DGA, but their movies either won Editing (Traffic, Cabaret) or were just nominated (Pianist).
“I’m curious on what basis you felt Crash was even competitive with Brokeback Mountain (of course aside from the older white male membership of the Academy to openly admitted they refused to even watch the overwhelming frontrunner).”
I was just starting out on the stats back then. 🙂 I liked the arguments. But I was proven right by that and other, subsequent races (like The Social Network). Plus, Shakespeare in Love is also very close to the same situation.
But mostly the editing stat… I never rule a movie out if it has all of the required stuff and a guild win, and the favorite is missing something key. I never ruled American Hustle out, either. Even Gravity, though it had some serious stat gaps. Maybe I’m wrong – but that’s how I do it. I need hard evidence to rule something out.
“Yes, BBM did not have an editing nomination at the Oscars (it did at the Eddies), but that was its only weakness – is that enough to overcome all of the foregoing??”
Yes, I believe so – but ONLY when relevant. No real reason for BBM not to get an editing nomination (flashy editing or not – other, even less “flashy” ones have been nominated), unlike Birdman, so, yes, big, big sign of weakness. Sure, had Crash not won ANYTHING, it probably wouldn’t have been enough. But it did. So there WAS evidence of support.
“Still no film but BBM has ever lost with the DGA, PGA and WGA.”
The WGA is a bit superfluous to that discussion. Crash also won the WGA, in another category. Also, all of those (that won PGA, DGA and WGA) had all of the required key nominations, except for Argo (which, however, also won the SAG – as did most of the others). Brokeback did not have them. The big picture makes it very close between the two. Maybe BBM is ahead – I think not. The Crash Globe snub is something, but doesn’t take precedence over the other, stronger BP stats that were working for Crash or against BBM.
“I can’t remember anybody thinking it would, or should (except Ebert, who predicted BBM but preferred Crash”
I remember he actually predicted Crash as well – but maybe I’m wrong. Do you have articles? Links. Right before the ceremony. I might have something saved up, but I’d hate to look, unless necessary. Takes time…
Also, online, there were quite a few of us (at IMDb).
I really hope for Desplat to finally win his Oscar for The Grand Budapest Hotel, that score is AMAZING and probably the only really great score in the category along with Zimmer’s work for Interstellar (not a fan of Mr. Turner’s score). I wish they had nominated Greenwood’s music for Inherent Vice and Reznor and Attic for Gone Girl…
I think they throw Williams his 6th Oscar for his 50th nomination which will be Star Wars EP VII. 50 is a number that makes a backstory. So, unless someone scores something truly amazing this year, we have our next year’s winner here. The man (yes, “John Williams is the man”) is also 83 years old. He’s not going to be here forever.
”I’m curious on what basis you felt Crash was even competitive with Brokeback Mountain”
Thanks, Ben, for the reminder that the Oscars are sometimes about more than statistics. And ”Brokeback Mountain’s” loss to ”Crash” is one of the Academy’s most shameful episodes. It was embarrassing to have older Oscar voters, like Tony Curtis and Ernest Borgnine, spouting homophobic hogwash. Sadly, they probably were right: They knew fellow Oscar voters who wouldn’t even watch a movie about gay cowboys, let alone vote for it.
”John Williams, who get’s nominated for nearly everything, but when it comes to the actual awards people tend to think that five Oscars is enough.”
Wow, I gotta say I was surprised. Williams has about 50 Oscar nominations, but only 5 wins.
And his last win was 20 years ago: ”Schindler’s List” (1994).
DAVEYLOW – You are not alone. GBH would be a wonderful (albeit impossible) surprise:
CLAUDIU
I’m curious on what basis you felt Crash was even competitive with Brokeback Mountain (of course aside from the older white male membership of the Academy to openly admitted they refused to even watch the overwhelming frontrunner). Still no film but BBM has ever lost with the DGA, PGA and WGA. Still no film has ever lost with the most nominations, BAFTA, Globe, Los Angeles Film Crix, NY Film Crix. BBM set a record for most critics Best Picture & Director prizes ever (since broken by Social Network, but the latter faltered at the guilds, unlike BBM), and had the top box office among the nominees by 50% (and was the Box Office Mojo #1 success story of 2005 – and it was a cultural zeitgeist). Crash won SAG, that’s all, and that’s not a BP prize (and is a 50% BP indicator). It wasn’t even nominated for the Globe. Yes, BBM did not have an editing nomination at the Oscars (it did at the Eddies), but that was its only weakness – is that enough to overcome all of the foregoing?? I don’t see how it can be, and remember, films with flashier editing than BBM won Best Picture, like Godfather II (how that wasn’t nominated remains unbelievable). And even Paul Haggis said BBM deserved to win. So I’m curious how you knew, as at the time, I can’t remember anybody thinking it would, or should (except Ebert, who predicted BBM but preferred Crash; he was literally one of 2 critics in a Premiere Mag poll of 100 who preferred Crash; the other was a Kansas City Critic who was openly biased).
No, you’re not alone 😉
With all this Boyhood vs Birdman talk I personally would rather see Budapest Hotel win Best Picture but I know I’m alone there.
So, if we’re going to begin considering 2015 already…
FYC
“What we do in the shadows”
Best Picture
Best Original Screenplay
“An Honest Liar”
Best Picture
Best Film Editing
Best Documentary Feature
So uh… Eddie Redmayne will win Oscar after all. So much for Michael Keaton, huh?
It’s not a chore… it tends to lead to way too long conversations where nobody changes their minds (except me, sometimes), so I kind of think it’s a bit fruitless, that’s all – that’s why I’ve decided to not get into this kind of debate in the future. But I can make a quick exception for my friend Ryan. 🙂
SPOILER ALERT
SPOILER ALERT
Anyway, I think I’ve given you my explanation (about the final shot, specifically) before, and it’s not that complicated, really. It’s just that, to me, that particular shot undoubtedly PROVES that the final scene can’t be real (and I’ve come to the final conclusion that this DOES apply only from the moment he looks out the window, just as I had thought the first time I saw the movie, and not earlier, after he shoots himself – based on various clues, that I had misinterpreted before), because of the daughter’s reaction when looking down, which is just NOT in any way that of a daughter (disturbed or otherwise) who’s just seen her father lying dead down there (and how could she miss him if he had, indeed, fallen?), and also when looking up and smiling, which is also a reaction she would never have, to anything, after having just seen her father dead (or even if she had NOT seen him – she would still be too worried to ever smile, as she clearly cared for him).
I honestly see no way around this, and think the evidence is unassailable here, since there’s simply no logical explanation (that’s also consistent with the rest of the movie) for the daughter’s reactions in the final scene. I know you’ve said there are musical cues and sirens at one point, and I’ve listened very carefully for those every time I’ve watched the movie since you said that. The musical cues are consistent with my current interpretation, in fact. The sirens I’m just not hearing, at least not clearly. Besides, even if they’re there and I’m somehow still missing them, that doesn’t really prove much, anyway, since that part’s 100% all in his imagination.
Of course, one can argue (unsuccessfully, I believe) that this means he actually IS flying, but I think this is false and THIS is very much inconsistent with the rest of the movie. The key scene that has me drawing this conclusion is the scene where, after supposedly flying around the city, he is shown descending and getting into the theater, but, immediately, we also see a cab pulling up, the driver getting out and going in after him, shouting that he hadn’t paid the fare, then coming back out with the money he was, presumably, owed. Now, if anybody can tell me how this scene fits in with his actually having the ability to fly, I’ll be very happy to change my mind. It can’t be his imagination – why on Earth would he imagine something like that after he’s just flown there? So, then, what is it? It can ONLY be a way for the writer/director to tell us that he’s clearly imagining the flying sequence, in fact (and, very likely, by extension, all of the other stuff with his telekinesis and all that), and he’s just a regular human being with a very active imagination, who got to the theater via the cab. 🙂 Otherwise, it makes absolutely no sense.
As for my interpretation of what this actually MEANS for Riggan – which is probably all you were interested in anyway 🙂 -, this is, I suppose, more debatable, and I’m open to any suggestions for improving on my current interpretation. Anyway, to me, the ending (all of it) is him having finally accepted that that he’s just Birdman (evidence: “I got this voice in my head, talks to me, tells me THE TRUTH”, which he tells his wife AFTER his flying/cab ride epiphany, and which proves he’s accepted Birdman), just a washed-up actor who used to be a superhero-playing celebrity, and who’s messed up his life trying to be more, but he still wants the play to succeed, he still wants to fight for the general love and admiration that he craves for, only now he’s ready to do it on his own terms, and he finds the only way he, with his limited ideas/abilities, can think of to achieve that: doing what Birdman does best – going for the flashy move, dazzling the audience -, because he’s not good/smart enough to do it the regular way, by putting on an actually good play, which he now sees; hence, he shoots his nose off, and gets the result depicted in the epilogue.
The final scene (beginning after he sees the birds out the window) is either just him imagining that he’s flying, as a symbol of his liberation from his internal struggle to get away from Birdman, which he’s now accepted was pointless and, in fact, harmful, as he IS Birdman, and not (capable of) much more (which works fine, and is very effective, for me, at suggesting this), and also of gaining the acceptance/understanding of his daughter (after their nice moment in the hospital room, earlier), or simply a symbolic scene, neither real, nor in his imagination, but having the same meaning. This kind of thing has been done before in movies (I’d rather not give my example, but will, should the argument ever require it), and not as well, I might add, so I don’t see why this would be a bad ending either. It’s up to the viewer to make up his mind whether this liberation/acceptance the character undergoes is a good thing, or a bad thing.
Also, I find none of the rest of the movie in any way inconsistent with anything about this ending. I get that, even if that’s true, you won’t like the movie any more for it. You have other reasons why you dislike it, and I respect them. They’re solid, though probably subjective. As are my reasons for liking it, of course. But the ending is fine, if interpreted correctly. Maybe it’s not ideal, maybe one can think of an even stronger ending, but it’s definitely NOT inconsistent with what’s come before. At least that’s my opinion.
The way I interpret it, the final shot is not only coherent with the rest of the movie, but actually crucial to making my interpretation work from a logical standpoint
Claudiu, I would be interested in reading one of your lucid comments that explains the way you feel about the final shot and what it means to you. I promise not to argue with anything you say. I’d just like to have someone smart try to help me understand how it makes sense — because on my own I cannot make it fit.
Don’t do it if you think it’s too much mental obligation — but only if you feel inspired to describe what you got from it, ok?
I mean, don’t write about it unless it’s fun for you to write about. I don’t want to assign you a dreaded chore 🙂 But I want to read what you think if you’re excited to tell me.
“I never said the whole movie is not coherent. The final shot is in my opinion.”
The way I interpret it, the final shot is not only coherent with the rest of the movie, but actually crucial to making my interpretation work from a logical standpoint (and other interpretations NOT work – again, in my opinion, but I’ve not yet come across anything that has made me even question my logic on this point, and, again, I LOOKED REALLY HARD, both within the movie itself, in reviews, podcasts, people’s opinions here at AD, direct conversation etc.).
“One thing we all can agree: the ending of Birdman is polarizing. Some hate. Some love.”
I won’t disagree with this. 🙂 Even if you accept that it’s coherent, you still don’t have to love it, of course – or even think it works, just because it makes sense logically. I do, but I see how others might not, and I have no problem with that (anymore).
@ Claude
I never said the whole movie is not coherent. The final shot is in my opinion. Despite hating the final shot, I still rank it as my number 2 movie among the 8 nominees. Its victory is only gonna upset me because I think Boyhood is a better and more unique film but definitely not gonna upset as, let’s say, The Theory of Everything, for me the worst BP nominee of this century along with The Blind Side, and its terrible script winning.
One thing we all can agree: the ending of Birdman is polarizing. Some hate. Some love.
“I gave it a 2nd, a 3rd… And I still HATE it.”
Doesn’t make you right. 🙂 Far from it, my friend. The ending isn’t automatically bad, just because you choose to interpret it a certain way. Others interpret it differently, in ways that, maybe, make a little more sense than your interpretation does (and maybe not – I don’t want to be arrogant, here), and actually think it’s pretty brilliant as it is. I’m sure you can agree to respect intelligent opinions that are different from your own, and to not try to impose yours like they’re facts.
Birdman is NOT incoherent – your interpretation of it renders it incoherent. Mine does not. Others agree (as, I’m sure, others agree with you). Personally, I think my interpretation is the closest to the truth (this, after analyzing things very, very carefully, with multiple viewings, and taking into consideration many other people’s opinions, as well), but you don’t see me trying to impose my point of view on everybody else, right? Calling it the masterpiece of the millennium or whatever… Maybe you should be more reserved too, and not call it incoherent like it’s some kind of indisputable fact. Especially since, I’m pretty sure, you haven’t given it anywhere near as much thought as I have, nor read/listened to as many different opinions before reaching your conclusions.
Well, it ain’t over yet. Linklater has lost DGA last night, but he takes a much needed win here. http://filmcutting.com/bafta-awards-boyhood-wins-big/
“I would suggest you pay attention and do a little bit of research on Redmayne’s preparation and degree of difficulty for this role. There’s a hell of a lot going on there and perhaps you should start by reading the film’s production notes, which will enlighten you.
I know this may be hard for you to believe, but sometimes your favorite just isn’t the best.”
And why your favorite is? The best for whom? You can have a favorite and defend your point of view… but this is just nonsense. My favorite is the best for me. Your favorite is the best for you. And the Academy’s favorite is the best for them.
Regarding Redmanyne… I don’t really care if he wins. I don’t really care about whoever wins Best Actor. I personally would slightly prefer Michael Keaton but my favorite male lead performance this year was BY FAR Jake Gyllenhall’s, totally original. His snub set my lack of interest about this category. What would really piss me off more than anything this year would be The Theory of Everything winning screenplay. That screenplay is MEDIOCRE. BAD. BAD. BAD. 200 Facts in 2 hours. A 2-hour canonization tape. Bad structure. Poor dialogues. Sometimes I think this screenplay is even worse than The Blind Side’s, that was never meant to be a BP contender and happened by accident thanks to box office and to the flops that year. The Theory of Everything was always meant to be an awards contender. Acting is good, score is good but the script is horrible. And the irony is that Cumberbach played the same role, the same way… a decade ago. I know that Redmayne had a really hard preparation. I think he should have been nominated for Les Mis. Just don’t see how playing Stephen Hawking is harder than playing Alan Turing or Rigan Thomson or Louis Bloom, that was among the biggest robberies of the year.
“Neither is Birdman’s – and we, who’ve thought about it properly, instead of just deciding we don’t like it and not giving it a second thought, know it!
I gave it a 2nd, a 3rd… And I still HATE it.
”I think it’s kind of cute, if not sad how some of you are trying to force the universe to give Keaton the Oscar over Eddie Redmayne. If that’s the case, you all can also argue in defense for Rosamund Pike over Julianne Moore. Redmayne has won all the major awards that a true front runner, like Moore, Arquette and Simmons has won thus far. Why are some of you still in this sad state of denial?”
Redmayne definitely has momentum on his side, having just won BAFTA and SAG, and I won’t be surprised if he takes the Oscar, too. But … Redmayne didn’t win his first Best Actor prize in competition with Keaton until just a couple weeks ago at SAG. (They had both won at the Globes, so I don’t count that.) But until SAG, Keaton had been winning many of the Best Actor precursors: Broadcast Film Critics, Gotham Awards, National Board of Review (co-winner), plus a number of the regional film critics’ prizes. Redmayne hadn’t. So you can’t put him in the same category as Moore, Simmons or Arquette who’ve been ”winning over and over.” Give Keaton credit for his many wins before SAG. Talk about ”a sad state of denial”!
@ Jasco
And when I talk about the mirror thing, I am not saying I don’t like those films. I truly do. i actually even have an unpopular opinion in this space… that The Artist should have won in that very weak year. Would be happy with Hugo too, which is also a metalingustic achievement. Loved both and they are by far the best in the mediocre 2011 lineup. Midnight In Paris some legs behind. Argo was my number 3 favorite in 2012’s lineup, behind Zero Dark Thirty and Lincoln, and Birdman just behind Boyhood.
I don’t think it is a shift. I think what happened is that this year was not good overall and most of the films with high pedigree did not deliver. The Boyhood-Birdman-Budapest trio is somehow similar to Artist-Hugo-MidnightInParis. Both 2014 and 2011 were poor years for awards movies. Last year, I got 5 out of the 9. And this 5 were the films that received Directing nominations. In 2012, I got 4 (5 If we consider that Gravity would obviously make the cut if it was released then). And see that a year full of Awards movies competing (if we consider that awards movies are the ones we can see coming based on pedigree) is not necessariy something bad. 2013 has one of the best lineups in the history of the Best Picture category and it is full of films with pedigree that delivered.
Last year, I had this lineup in the end of january:
• Big Eyes
• Birdman
• Exodus (my hope that Ridley Scott was pulling a Gladiator but instead likely made his worst film to date)
• Foxcatcher
• Gone Girl
• Inherent Vice
• Interstellar
• Into the Woods
• Unbroken
For next year, I have:
• Brooklyn
• Carol
• Demolition
• The Hateful Eight
• Joy
• Me & Earl & The Dying Girl
• The Revenant
• St. James Place
• Steve Jobs
• Trumbo
I think (and hope, of course) I’ll have better luck next Oscars with my year in advance predictions.
“Patrick – there is a difference between voicing your support for a film and saying that anyone who doesn’t vote for that film is wrong and stubborn. A big difference. You are correct in that groups and group think are what determine these awards, but suggesting that because most other groups awarded Boyhood means it should win is what upset me. The Academy is their own group that will decide for themselves who they want to win, and that film will win. Discrediting their opinions using other people’s consensus is neither productive nor valid.”
This.
“I would suggest you pay attention and do a little bit of research on Redmayne’s preparation and degree of difficulty for this role. There’s a hell of a lot going on there and perhaps you should start by reading the film’s production notes, which will enlighten you.
I know this may be hard for you to believe, but sometimes your favorite just isn’t the best.”
Thank you, Film Fatale! I personally will never defend a favorite movie or performance again, because I get way too involved emotionally, but I will always applaud when others do it in my stead…
“Why does everyone hate the ending of Birdman? I love it. I think it’s kind of perfect.”
So I’m NOT alone in this around here. 🙂 Cool!… (Well, I guess Antoinette also loves it, but we see it very differently, so it’d be cheating a bit if I counted her – I’m still pleased that she likes it, though.)
“Not incoherent to the whole film.”
Neither is Birdman’s – and we, who’ve thought about it properly, instead of just deciding we don’t like it and not giving it a second thought, know it!
Well, they clearly just don’t want to make it easy on us this year! 🙁 We won’t really know much for sure about what’s winning BP before Best Director is announced on Oscar night, though it is, as expected, down to the same two it always was down to… Will the near-total industry support for Birdman prevail, or the support from everywhere else for Boyhood? Who the F knows anymore?!… Right now, before a more careful study of the stats as they apply to this new situation, I’m inclined to think I’ll probably be betting on Birdman, but I’ll be way less than confident, at best. Certainly less than last year. This remains the toughest year to predict that I’ve ever witnessed live. Or maybe Crash vs. Brokeback Mountain was closer, I’m not sure – I know I was pretty confident about Crash at the time, but, statistically, it was probably closer than that, even though the editing snub was clearly more significant in Brokeback’s case.
“BIRDMAN isn’t The King’s Speech either. It’s a comedy and it lost comedy at the Globes. But still, it won one BAFTA (cinematography). THE KING’S SPEECH nearly swept, taking SEVEN awards. The Social Network lost best picture there. Boyhood won best picture at the BAFTA’s.
THE KING’S SPEECH had the SAG ensemble but it won male lead actor as well while BIRDMAN lost male lead actor and it was the favorite.”
Good summary of Birdman’s issues (you forgot the editing snub). Been a while since any movie’s won BP without winning the PGA, SAG or DGA, though, hasn’t it?!… A lot more than it’s been since a movie’s won without winning either the BFCA, Globe or BAFTA (which would be Crash, and Million Dollar Baby before it – and those two hadn’t even swept the guilds, like Birdman has).
“Birdman, the current Oscar frontrunner, leaves with only a cinematography award. This makes the race a bit different from 2011’s race, when The King’s Speech won both Best Film and Best Actor at the BAFTAs.”
That one was a bit British, though…
“If they (the WGA) go with Boyhood over any of the nominees, I think the race really belongs to Boyhood.”
The Social Network won that one too – didn’t help much…
“All the guilds show are that enough of one group liked a film better than others. It doesn’t mean all voters will go for Birdman over Boyhood. It means that Birdman got the biggest number over Boyhood, which means there’s probably quite a bit of support that we haven’t seen.”
No, actually, Birdman’s wins don’t MEAN that at all. You’re just assuming that because you want it to be true. They could just as easily mean that Birdman got a large majority of the votes. There’s no way of knowing, since they don’t release the tallies, and since the industry clearly is of a different (be it slightly different, or very different – we also can’t know this) opinion to the other awards groups this year. The only thing Birdman’s wins are actual evidence of is support for Birdman.
“Moreover, those guilds are made up largely of non-Academy voters.”
Is the overlap between BAFTA and AMPAS greater than the one between the guilds and AMPAS?
“Could Boyhood still win, even after losing all three major American guild awards?”
Clearly, it could. I’m with you in thinking it’s slightly less likely to do so than Birdman, but who knows?! Very unclear race.
“On Oscar night, I wouldn’t be shocked if they read “American Sniper”.”
Of course not – because the world will have already ended by then, and you with it. 🙂
@JP: Great response. I think we are fairly in agreement about what an “Awards movie” is. Your definition (“the kind of contender you can see coming a long time before just based on pedigree”) I would say is the most accurate. I agree “The Artist” is not one. I might debate the point with “Argo” as it is about an important historical event (and, like “The Imitation Game,” a recently declassified one.)
I didn’t think about how industry narcissism plays into these things. In fact, not so long ago, the conventional wisdom seems to have been that films about the movie/entertainment industry are not generally beloved. However, you make a great point that “The Artist,” “Argo” and “Birdman” are all doing that.
Another great point in that most of the industry longs to make films like “Birdman” more than films like “Boyhood.”
Just out of curiosity, what were your year in advance predictions for Best Picture besides “Birdman”?
Based on past results, the fact that you only got one right this year suggest that something is shifting in terms of our definition of “Awards movies,” no?
Patrick – there is a difference between voicing your support for a film and saying that anyone who doesn’t vote for that film is wrong and stubborn. A big difference. You are correct in that groups and group think are what determine these awards, but suggesting that because most other groups awarded Boyhood means it should win is what upset me. The Academy is their own group that will decide for themselves who they want to win, and that film will win. Discrediting their opinions using other people’s consensus is neither productive nor valid.
I think it’s kind of cute, if not sad how some of you are trying to force the universe to give Keaton the Oscar over Eddie Redmayne. If that’s the case, you all can also argue in defense for Rosamund Pike over Julianne Moore. Redmayne has won all the major awards that a true front runner, like Moore, Arquette and Simmons has won thus far. Why are some of you still in this sad state of denial? It’s like, you’re mental or something. Sheesh! The writing’s on the wall people, the same four people who have been winning over, and over, and over again, will win on Oscar night.
Two of my favorite movies this year were ”Boyhood” and ”Grand Budapest Hotel,” so I’m thrilled for them. But what horrible scheduling. I wish Linklater & Co. could’ve been in the London to collect their prizes.
”Mostly, we knew the BAFTAs wouldn’t go for ”Birdman.”’ Based on what reasoning? ”Birdman” got 10 BAFTA nominations. … Based on the DGA win, some pundits even changed their BAFTA predictions to ”Birdman.” Frankly, I always thought that ”Boyhood’s” shot at Best Picture and Direction were shaky; the movie seemed ”too American.” The BAFTAs had 2 Brit biopics to choose between,plus the more European ”Budapest.” Glad I was wrong.
Jason Travis, I also was disappointed. I looked online earlier and only could find a link to red-carpet coverage.
”It is weird how The Theory of Everything bitchslapped Imitation Game …the whole season. With its meaty, important subject matter, Weinstein-push and star power, I would have expected latter to be THE British film of the season.”
Is there a bigger also-ran in recent years than ”Imitation Game”? It got skunked at the Golden Globes, the Broadcast Film Critics, the SAGs, the various Guilds … and now on home soil, at the BAFTAs, where it had a shot at Best Film AND Best British Film. (Does anyone know if Stephen Fry, the BAFTA host, surprised Prince William with a petition to pardon all the people who were arrested like Alan Turing?) Anyway, ”Imitation Game” has one more shot: the Oscars. I was predicting that it could pull off a solo Adapted Screenplay win, but with its hometown BAFTA shutout, I’m not even sure if it’ll do that.
@MYEWER. Julliane Moore is a great actress.I am just saying she doesnt deserve an oscar for Still Alice and yes i have watched it.I missed the days of when fearless performances were awarded not the typical oscar bait performances.
“Could this year’s takeaway be “What happened to the ‘Awards movie’”?”
I don’t know what is your definition of an awards movie but I’ll tell a story here. Every end of January for the past years, I’ve been making an year in advance prediction. In 2012, I got 4 of the 9 BP nominees one year before, including winner Argo plus Lincoln, Les Mis and Django. And Gravity was also there. But it was postponed. In 2013, I got the 5 films that happened to be nominated for Best Directing. 12 YAS, Gravity, American Hustle, The Wolf of Wall Street and Nebraska. In 2014, just one. Imagine what was that? Birdman, of course. If you consider an awards movie a historical dramatic piece, a biopic of someone very important or something, it is not an awards movie. I just hope you also don’t consider The Artist an awards movie because the case is the same. I also hope you don’t consider Argo an awards movie because it is action. I just hope you consider 12 Years a Slave an awards movie because, well, in the classical definition, it is.
BUT…
1) If you consider an awards movie, the kind of contender you can see coming a long time before just based on pedigree, then Birdman is obviously an awards movie.
2) The Artist, Argo and Birdman are a mirror of the industry. They are about the industry. They salute the industry in some way. If you consider awards movies, the ones that salute the industry, then Birdman is one.
One thing is for sure… I guess a lot of people in the guilds wish and imagine they could have participated in Birdman. I think the vast majority of the actors, directors and producers from the guilds can’t imagine them making a film like Boyhood. And so… it lost all the guilds and could lose the Oscars next.
@mweyer…..I saw Still Alice and had the very same thought…that is not even in the top 5 of her performances. Very sub par for her. She was much better in The Kids are Alright!!! Still happy for her win…but it is a career Oscar for her in my opinion. Pike/s performance to me was the best…followed by Witherspoon. Cottillard being in there is a joke. The movie was pathetic.
George Golden: Did you SEE “Still Alice?” It really is one of her best performances, gets you deep and totally deserving of Oscar. Yeah, her career works in but come on, the BAFTAs recognizing her over Jones and Pike gives Moore’s work some more merit.
Ok, so Julianne Moore, J.K Simmons (please stop the same gag ‘above average kids’ spiel each speech). Patricia Arquette – firm locks for wins.
Actor I would lean towards Eddie Redmayne, (stats are on his side), but Keaton for the spoiler. Screenplay awards I still think are up in the air as are the two big prizes. The stats seem to point to Birdman for BD/BP but I get a gut feeling that it won’t pan out that way.
I can imagine Entertainment Weekly now going “but…but, we said KEATON was the front-runner, how can this be?!”
Mostly we knew the BAFTAs wouldn’t really go for Birdman, but many thought that due to Boyhood’s assumed “weakening”, some beloved british film would emerge victorious, like Globe-winner The Grand Budapest Hotel or even The Imitation Game. But it’s Boyhood for ya!
Jullian Moores nonstop win for such a forgetteable performance is just unbelievable.I am sure the voters didnt even watch the film but just ticked her name.Its fine wanting to reward an accomplished actress but not at the expense of rewarding superior performances. The BAFTAS cant even switch things up just because they want to be in line with the oscars .What a dissapionting award season….
I was so very happy to see Boyhood win and hope it can turn the momentum around and win BP/BD. It was the best movie of the year and moved me more than any movie I can remember. I have seen 7 of the 8 BP nominees and they all were entertaining. I just hope the Academy can appreciate what a remarkable movie that Boyhood is. Thanks to Sasha and all who keep banging the drums for Boyhood!
What was good? Boyhood alive and kicking still. Eddie, Mike Leigh, Wes Anderson wins
What was not so good? Rosamund and Felicity overlooked, Ed Norton, Dick Pope, also rans
What was a bit of a shocker? Imitation game with nothing; Theory of Everything screenplay? Well, i guess like last year’s American Hustle – these people have questionable taste in writing; but ironically Wes Anderson’s brilliance is honoured.
What was unforgiveable? Fry calling Patricia Arquette Rosanna
What was pathetic – nobody corrected him and he did a piece of shtick later to correct it.
Bet everyone here wish this was the Oscar day, right?? LOL
Okay, so this gives ‘Boyhood’ some last-minute momentum. But the BAFTA awards really don’t hold much bearing on the outcome of the Oscars. The precursors all point to ‘Boyhood’ up until the Guilds. After that, it was all ‘Birdman.’ But the funny thing about that is that Michael Keaton was the favorite to win Best Actor for a long time. Now, it’s really Eddie Redmayne’s to lose. Since the two actors won their respective Best Actor awards at the GG’s, it’s been all Eddie Redmayne from that point on. I’m pretty disappointed actually. But after seeing the two performances, as I said before, either actor deserves to win. I still want Keaton to take it, though.
@ANDREW: Quote: “this race will be close, and there is no third contender.”
I wonder if GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL isn’t more of a contender than we’re aware. Given that it’s nearly sweeping the technical categories and taking writing trophies as well, I suspect the amount of support it’s drawing is playing a major role in whether BIRDMAN or BOYHOOD comes out on top.
Also, what a quirky year! Aren’t BIRDMAN, BOYHOOD and GRAND BUDAPEST very odd films for the Academy to embrace? I love them all (BOYHOOD more than BIRDMAN, I have to admit — but nevertheless I found BIRDMAN extremely pleasurable). Not one of them seems to be the typical “Awards movie.” In a usual year, all of these “frontrunners” seem like they would be in the “glad to be nominated” category. I find it wonderful that all three are likely to go home with at least one statue on Oscar night.
Could this year’s takeaway be “What happened to the ‘Awards movie'”?
Yes, but 12 Years A Slave didn’t have the Cinema Editors Guild, most of the critics and Boyhood could still win the WGA Award. Add Arquette’s SAG win to that!
BIRDMAN isn’t The King’s Speech either. It’s a comedy and it lost comedy at the Globes. But still, it won one BAFTA (cinematography). THE KING’S SPEECH nearly swept, taking SEVEN awards. The Social Network lost best picture there. Boyhood won best picture at the BAFTA’s.
THE KING’S SPEECH had the SAG ensemble but it won male lead actor as well while BIRDMAN lost male lead actor and it was the favorite.
and there is no third contender
On Oscar night, I wouldn’t be shocked if they read “American Sniper”.
Note how I said “American industry voters.” That encompasses the guild voters. Therefore, when I say everyone else, it doesn’t include the guild voters. Also, there’s absolutely nothing “anti-art” about voicing your support for a film that a lot of other people like. That’s more than a bit absurd. I’ve trashed plenty of films that have consensus support from the critical establishment and supported others that have been divisive. The cinema critic’s only duty is to voice his own opinion, which I’ve always done. Steve, you are correct in saying that the Academy shouldn’t just vote for a film because everyone else is doing it. You are wrong, however, in asserting that the best film isn’t determined by group-think. That’s exactly how the best film (or any other subjective art) is determined. Awards are, in fact, predicated on that notion.
Come Oscar night, the envelope is opened, “And the winner [for Best Picture] is… a tie! Between Birdman and Boyhood!”
One can dream.
For those who are using GG+BFCA+BAFTA as key a to Boyhood win Best Picture Oscar via 12 YAS, keep in mind that 12 YAS won the Producers Guild IN A TIE with Gravity. So it’s more like, GG+BFCA+PGA+BAFTA.
This is an interesting race isn’t it. So happy to see both films win big.
Strong showing for Boyhood.
As a birdfan, I’d rather have SAG/PGA/DGA than GG/BAFTA, but this race will be close, and there is no third contender
As much as I want Eddie Redmayne to win Best Actor, unfortunately Keaton has a shot, especially with the comeback narrative and with Birdman now being the Best Picture frontrunner(?). Think about it: with three acting nominees, would Birdman go home empty-handed in the acting categories? Unfortunately, I think the Academy will pass up Redmayne to give Keaton the win.
Well, BAFTAs made me happy, showering all that love on my two favorite films Boyhood and Grand Budapest Hotel. (Birdman is a fave too, but these results please me the most.) Happy to see Julianne Moore and Pride get awarded too.
WHERE THE HELL WAS THE CORRECT STREAMING LINK for the show??? Found no working links, just stupid red carpet coverage. Horrible way to ruin all the suspense by posting the winners instead of giving us a way to actually watch the program first. COME ON! I will never tune into blog sites on BAFTA Sunday. I will instead watch them in privacy. Seriously it’s 2015- there should be simpler ways to watch this show online.
meant winning*…woops 🙂
Boyhood winning makes me so happy!
Patrick – If someone liked Birdman over Boyhood, then that is their opinion. It is a terrible argument to say everyone else thinks something is best, thus it is. First of all, it is not true that everyone thought Boyhood was better (the Guilds?) and even if they did, that doesn’t render an entire group of people opinionless. If the Academy awards Birdman, it is because the majority of members want it to win, not because they’re stubborn and they refuse to go along with what other people have deemed best. If Boyhood wins, they liked it best, and if Birdman wins, they liked that best. There is no objectivity when it comes to film, and quite frankly your consensus group think mindset is alarming and anti-art and anti-awards. Let someone have an opinion that is different from yours, and live happily knowing that there is a film like Boyhood that you love that much, and celebrate it. But give others a chance to celebrate a film that they loved as well.
Hmmm….so it looks like BAFTA liked Birdman the least of groups so far. It was treated almost as bad as Globes. Seems like an anomaly. But maybe another split is coming…Birdman/Boyhood or Boyhood/Birdman or Birdman/Birdman
Michael Keaton being in a Best Picture frontrunner gives him a bit of ground still. He has BFCA and GG, and his film is out front.
It was nice of Mike Leigh to single out Boyhood in his speech. I also love his comment to the people who wouldn’t support his film: “To those boneheads, philistines and uninspired skinflints who said no, a big thank you to you as well. If you’d said yes you’ve had interfered with the movie… and made a pig’s ear of the whole thing… Thank you for keeping away, and may you all rot in hell.” Amazing.
Phantom: Michael Keaton and Bradley Cooper are out.
With the GG/SAG/BAFTA wins, Eddie Redmayne is pretty much unbeatable.
We knew the brits were going for Boringhood. It’s totally their thing.
Gotta agree with you, Phantom. It would appear that Redmayne is home free, as he probably should be, but I have a feeling in the pit of my stomach. Final voting began on Feb 6th – when does it end? No time for complacency.
This race statistically makes zero sense.
Someone here has mentioned this before, but I think there’s a weird binary being presented: All the guilds show are that enough of one group liked a film better than others. It doesn’t mean all voters will go for Birdman over Boyhood. It means that Birdman got the biggest number over Boyhood, which means there’s probably quite a bit of support that we haven’t seen. Moreover, those guilds are made up largely of non-Academy voters. Similarly, there’s clearly a sizable following from the British voters, and a lack of support for Birdman over nearly every other Best Picture nominee. We just don’t have a clear enough picture. I’m gonna go with Boyhood, but just barely. We’ll see where WGA comes down on this. If they go with Boyhood over any of the nominees, I think the race really belongs to Boyhood. If they go with anyone else, it’s anyone’s guess, but it’s probably Birdman’s to lose.
I still have a feeling that Birdman will end up winning big on Oscar Night.
Big wins with PGA and DGA, no matter how it performed at the BAFTAs, will more than likely carry it through.
The big takeaway is the performance of The Grand Budapest Hotel in the techs and Whiplash taking a few techs as well.
I hope Boyhood does win, but I’m not holding my breath.
@ Mr. E
I did it. Not incoherent to the whole film. Not a fan of it but not incoherent like Birdman. Anyway, I prefered There Will Be Blood but the Coens deserved their win and No Country For Old Men is a great film.
The strange thing about Best Actor, that I firmly believe it is STILL far from being a done deal : Redmayne is the textbook frontrunner (GG+SAG+BAFTA is usually an unbeatable combo), but Keaton’s film is still the frontrunner (PGA+DGA+SAG) and his film is ALL about him and then there is Cooper whose film is a huge hit and who is a nominee for the third consecutive year without ever winning. Sure, I think, too, that Redmayne has the edge…but in my opinion, not by much.
Birdman, the current Oscar frontrunner, leaves with only a cinematography award. This makes the race a bit different from 2011’s race, when The King’s Speech won both Best Film and Best Actor at the BAFTAs. Could Boyhood still win, even after losing all three major American guild awards? I’m not holding my breath. I have a feeling the American industry voters will be stubborn and still give it to Birdman, even though everyone else seems to think Boyhood is the year’s best film.
Why does everyone hate the ending of Birdman? I love it. I think it’s kind of perfect.
Jash-
I would suggest you pay attention and do a little bit of research on Redmayne’s preparation and degree of difficulty for this role. There’s a hell of a lot going on there and perhaps you should start by reading the film’s production notes, which will enlighten you.
I know this may be hard for you to believe, but sometimes your favorite just isn’t the best.
I would be okay with a split. I just want Linklater to win Director. That’s it.
Great showing.
JP…watch No Country for Old Men’s final scene
The Imitation Game has failed to win a single major award during the season. Not one Golden Globe (5 Nominations), not one Guild (nominations from PGA, DGA, WGA, 3 SAG nods including Ensemble), and most shockingly, not one Bafta. WGA is its last chance
Very surprising results. I wouldn’t be surprised if the grand Budapest hotel wins the most Oscars and theory of everything, whiplash and birdman win 3 a piece and american sniper and imitation game gets shut out and Richard link later wins director for boyhood I have a feeling director and picture are going to split again.
Not dead yet. #WEHAVEARACE #TEAMBOYHOOD
Academy voters, WATCH Birdman’s final scene.
It started off so promising then ended with a thud.
And David Beckham’s credentials to present Outstanding British Film are what again ?
Boyhood back with a bang !
Wow, Imitation Game has come up empty handed so far. WHAT is the appeal of The Theory of Everything outside of its performances?
Some good news for a change. Very happy for Linklater, Redmayne and Arquette.
BAFTAs streaming link right here.
Hopefully the Oscars are smarter than that. You could maybe make an argument for why his computer should win.
Eddie steals another one.
Weirdly, so far, these are almost exactly my ideal winners. Probably would have gone Girl for script.
Fincher and Linklater won BAFTA and lost DGA.
Well done, Americans! Congratulations for once more not deservingly aknowledging your best talent.
Linklater just won Best Directing!!
LINKLATER!!! YAY!!!
Rising Star went to Jack O’Connell. With three critically acclaimed lead performances (Starred Up, ’71, Unbroken), it was well-deserved, no doubt about it, I just hoped it would go to Gugu Mbatha-Raw. Her work in 2014 should have garnered her an Oscar nomination. This could have been a nice consolation prize.
The Theory of Everything script win reminds me of the time when The Artist won Best Original Screenplay at the Baftas…I wasn’t happy about that one, either.
So now it feels like The Theory of Everything or The Grand Budapest Hotel could actually surprise here in Best Picture ?
It is weird how The Theory of Everything bitchslapped The Imitation Game throughout the whole season. With its meaty, important subject matter, Weinstein-push and star power, I would have expected latter to be THE British film of the season. Now the question remains if the Academy will give it a shot : they loved it the most (BP+BD) among all the major organisations and reportedly the Academy screenings are smash hits…oh, well, if I had a dollar for every time I heard that one.
The Theory of Everything won screenplay. hahahaha
A MEDIOCRE screenplay. Everything is poor. Poor dialogues. Poor structure. 200 facts in 2 hours.
The worst Best Picture nominee of the century. I think even worse than The Blind Side.
What a terrible win. The script for TofE was brutal
*Adapted (correction)
Whoops, I’ve just remembered that The Theory of Everything DID get a Best Director nod here…so now it has already won Best British Film and Best Original Screenplay…it will probably take Best Actor and….will that be it or this will be the surprise in BP ?
The fork may now be stuck in The Imitation Game.
As phony as BAFTA is, thank god Birdman didn’t win Best Original screenplay!
Wes Anderson has just won Original Screenplay, the fourth Bafta for The Grand Budapest Hotel.
George Golden
They may still surprise (Cumberbatch or Pike)…but at this point, unlikely.
Do all the acting awards have to be the same?Its just too boring and repetitive..I wish the baftas would spice things up..
Sammy
Of course we’ll never know for sure, but I think she may have been a distant runner-up : she is British, she played a British hero in a big British hit. Long story short, she was probably closer to this than you think…or at least that’s also what the Gold Derby predictions suggest, most put her at No2.
Yep, J.K. Simmons and Patricia Arquette are most certainly winning the Oscar now. To me recollection, only Russel Crowe won the Golden Globe, SAG and Bafta and then lost the Oscar…so unless Simmons or Arquette decide to make their nights a bit more interesting and rough up a Bafta producer like Crowe did, they are surefire Oscar winners.
BAFTA always treats Hollywood as part of their film industry. Kind of corny.
There goes the last doubts in Arquette. If BAFTAS award her over Knightley, no way she loses the Oscar now.
If there was some 11th hour split between Boyhood and Birdman where Whiplash won Best Picture, I wouldn’t mind that one bit.
Sammy, we are posting the same things always a few seconds away, it is pretty funny 🙂 Keep it up !
I guess the one big question remains : could a “Bennet girl” surprise ? Knightley and/or Pike ? Thoughts ?
As expected, J.K. Simmons took Best Supporting Actor…Whiplash has already won 3 (!) Baftas.
Can we stick a fork in The Imitation Game now?
I’m reading the thread and live In the UK!! Hate this is not aired live and now will have no need to watch the show in an hours time!!!!
I’m just so happy for interstellar, i hope this means that it will AT LEAST get visual effects at the oscars.
Interstellar is visually stunning, the score is amazing and the story is a great adventure.
God, I’ll be so annoyed if Redmayne doesn’t win and suddenly people fuel the stupid “Jupiter Ascending is his Norbit” line.
I must say so far this is shaping up to be my favourite awards ceremony this season with two of my favourites taking well-deserved early awards (Whiplash, The Grand Budapest Hotel). I guess emphasis should be on “so far”…
Whiplash got sound, too !!!
Whoah, Whiplash got Editing ! So far so good !
BAFTA is probably GBH’s last chance to win a major award as it has 11 noms here including acting. I would like to see the film triumph here.
Gone Girl has a shot here as well.
It’s do-able. But I’d only do it if BAFTA calls me directly and says that I’ve won beforehand. 🙂
That’s right, Sammy, the scheduling is bad. I don’t see how Linklater, Inarritu and Anderson can turn around and attend the awards in 12 hours.
Luke Evans on the red carpet. PHWOAR!