National Board of Review Preview and Predictions

The National Board of Review will announce tomorrow and change the Oscar conversation. Just like the New York Film Critics announcement coming on Thursday will likewise change the conversation. The Gothams didn’t really, but did give a nice bump for Eighth Grade and First Reformed, with Toni Collette and The Rider potentially hovering around for critics awards in the coming weeks.

Usually the National Board of Review picks a film that will launch into the race in the big way as opposed to one that is already dominating, with the exception of juggernauts like Slumdog Millionaire. That means if A Star Is Born wins there, it could signal a juggernaut is on its way.

More likely, though, they’ll pick a film that isn’t as much of a sure thing, something that needs their support, like The Post did last year.

It’s really hard to guess how they will go, just that the way they go will carve a path for a part of the awards narrative to follow.

Here are our predictions, such as they are.

Sasha Stone
Best Film: A Star Is Born

Top Ten
1. Green Book
2. Roma
3. First Man
4. If Beale Street Could Talk
5. Vice
6. Black Panther
7. The Favourite
8. Crazy Rich Asians
9. First Reformed

Director: Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Actor: Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Actress: Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
S. Actor: Mahershala Ali, Green Book
S. Actor: Amy Adams, Vice
Adapted Screenplay: A Star Is Born
Original Screenplay: Vice
Foreign Language: Roma
Doc: Won’t You Be My Neighbor
Directorial Debut: Bo Burnham, Eighth Grade
Ensemble: The Favourite
Breakthrough: Elsie Fisher, Eighth Grade

Jazz Tangcay:
Best Film: Blackkklansman

Top Ten:
1. A Star Is Born
2. Green Book
3. Roma
4. First Reformed
5. If Beale Street Could Talk
6. Vice
7. Widows
8. The Favourite
9. Mary Poppins Returns
10. A Quiet Place

Director: Barry Jenkins, In Beale Street Could Talk
Actor: Christian Bale, Vice
Actress: Glenn Close, The Wife
S. Actor: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me
S. Actress: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Adapted Screenplay: If Beale Street Could Talk
Original Screenplay: The Favourite
Foreign Language: Roma>
Animated: Isle Of Dogs
Doc: RBG
Directorial Debut : Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Ensemble: Crazy Rich Asians
Breakthrough: Yalitza Aparicio, Roma

Ryan Adams:
Best Film: If Beale Street Could Talk

Top 10:
Blackkklansman
First Man
The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
Leave No Trace
The Mule
A Star Is Born
A Quiet Place
Vice

Director: Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Actor: Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Actress: Olivia Colman, The Favourite
S. Actor: Mahershala Ali, Green Book
S. Actress: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Adapted Screenplay: If Beale Street Could Talk
Original Screenplay: The Favourite
Foreign Language: Roma
Animated: Ralph Breaks the Internet
Doc: Won’t You Be My Neighbor
Directorial Debut: Bo Burnham
Ensemble: If Beale Street Could Talk
Breakthrough: Yalitza Aparicio

Top 5 Foreign Language Films
Border
Burning
Capernaum
Cold War
Shoplifters

Marshall Flores
Best Film: If Beale Street Could Talk

Top 10:

BlackKklansman
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
First Man
First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Widows
Vice

Director: Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Best Actor: Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Best Actress: Glenn Close, The Wife
Supporting Actor: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Supporting Actress: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Adapted Screenplay: If Beale Street Could Talk
Original Screenplay: The Favourite
Animated Film: Isle of Dogs
Foreign Language Film: Roma
Documentary: RBG
Directorial Debut: Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Ensemble: Widows
Breakthrough: Elsie Fisher, Eighth Grade

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