It’s all come down to this… finally…
The Oscar Squad weighs in on their final rankings for the 93rd Academy Awards, which of course are airing Sunday night on ABC. There’s so little to say here, so I’m just going to let you peruse the charts. Feel free to weigh in and rank in the comments below!
Also, certain members of the Oscar Squad would like to remind you that they have the right to change their predictions up until the red carpet closes. Joey, I’m talking about you…
Picture
Director
Actress
Actor
Supporting Actress
Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Editing
Cinematography
![2025 Oscars: Can a Late-Breaker Still Win Best Picture? [POLL]](https://www.awardsdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/gladiator-350x250.jpg)
I am confounded by adapted screenplay and editing, plus one or two shorts. I don’t know what to pick. Actress of course is hard.
Davis is admired and people like the idea of putting her in the pantheon of Lead winners and two time winners.
McDormand has already won twice, Day is a newcomer in a film that wasn’t well liked, and Mulligan is young so people assume she’ll have more chances.
I’m not saying I agree with all of that, but I think it’s how a lot of people are thinking.
I’m still not really buying Davis here.
Could be.
But could just as easily be this:
26% Mulligan
25% Day
25% Davis
24% McDormand
Even if not one single voter votes for Kirby, a tight race and “splits” will never mean that a split can split to benefit somebody in 3rd place
And I’ll come right out and say it:
I think it’s crude and borderline disgusting to always be talking about a Day/Davis split.
Why? The imaginary voter who only wants to vote for a Black person, any Black person… so it’s a coin toss?
We never hear such gross things like that about a “Whitey split” between McDormand & Mulligan.
I do very much wish that O’Neill and everyone else would quit this shit of making the Black ladies mud wrestle over which one is Black enough to win the Oscar.
It makes me physically ill to keep hearing this all year.
I’m diehard that way.
I dig in my heels. 🙂
If there was prize money for getting the highest number of gusses correct, then I would try harder to be correct.
I play longshots because I don’t lose a nickel if I’m wrong. But I look like a fkn wizard on the very rare occasions when I’m right.
I’ve seen some smart people illustrate that the preferential ballot is impervious to being gamed.
If a movie lands high enough in the initial rounds of counting, it does not matter how many “gamers” put that movie in last place. Because their #1 thru #7 choices are still going to be eliminated before the final round.
It only means that their attempt to game the system will make their ballot one of the very last ballots to land in the stack of the movie they hate.
Only one way to prevent your ballot from eventually landing in the stack of ballots for a movie you dislike: don’t put that movie on your ballot at all.
I seem to recall that Tom O’Neill thinks it’s razor close between Day and Davis, which frankly would split the vote and help McDormand big time.
I think that stopped when most of the anonymous ballot articles that picked against Nomad still placing it in a Top 3. I would also assume that the ear to the ground AD staff would have heard whispers of an active campaign to downvote Nomad to game the preferential ballot. Frankly if Zhao was that far out in front as Director, no way her film got downvoted to the clip needed for it to lose.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Viola won, but frankly I’m not exactly getting how she surged over such a strong competing field for a movie respected more than loved.
The only category where this seems to diverge from the awards prediction circuit is Editing. The momentum seems to be for SOUND OF METAL to take both Sound and Editing
Wow. Ryan is predicting PYW to win editing (after losing comedy ACE), screenplay, and actress. If it’s that strong, it will win BP.
After what feels like a long haul this year we have almost reached the summit. Im getting the feeling of “Shouldn’t there be something more?”… Predictable Predictions aside is it possible to have a tie in one of the main acting
categories?…Hmmm, that would be interesting …anyways, good luck to all the nominees and thank fuck its almost done. Now trying to get my head around Cannes in July.